Assessment of the global pandemic mortality burden in 2009

The H1N1 influenza pandemic started in Mexico in March 2009 and spread to North America, and to Europe and across the world later that year. We will use a two stage approach to estimate the global total number of deaths. The first stage will involve 20-30 countries with “adequate” mortality data. We will estimate the excess mortality based on time series mortality data in each country using Poisson Regression Modelling. In the second stage we will use 3 different statistical estimation procedures to extrapolate the data from the 20-30 countries to all countries in the world and thus produce a global estimate of the pandemic mortality burden in 2009.
This project aims at providing an assessment of the 2009 global pandemic mortality burden.
Study design:
Stage 1: Poisson Regression Modelling on time series mortality data in each country using
Stage 2: Statistical extrapolation procedures
Scientific publications
Dit project wordt gesubsidieerd door
In dit project werken we samen met
George Washington University, Washington DC, USA
Sage Analytica, Bethesda, USA
Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre, Birmingham, UK